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Over the previous three offseasons, the free-agent market has revolved around three unmistakable titans of the sport. Aaron Judge in 2022. Shohei Ohtani in 2023. Juan Soto in 2024.
Kyle Tucker doesnâ€t carry the same towering aura. At the same time, youâ€d be hard-pressed to find anyone who doesnâ€t view the 28-year-old outfielder as the No. 1 free agent in this yearâ€s class or consider him a shoo-in to land one of the largest deals in baseball history.
Tuckerâ€s game doesnâ€t announce itself with thunder or spectacle. He isnâ€t the type to wow you with a single, signature tool. But what he does provide is a rare level of all-around proficiency, even with his defense slipping since he won a Gold Glove in 2022.
Itâ€s why heâ€s earned All-Star selections in each of the past four years and ranks 10th among position players in WAR (per FanGraphs) since the beginning of 2021. The nine players ahead of him are perennial All-Stars and MVP candidates, not to mention some of the highest-paid players in baseball. (Seven of them have signed contracts worth more than $275 million in guaranteed money.)
Most fWAR among position players, since 2021
1. Aaron Judge: 42.8
2. Shohei Ohtani: 31.6 (additional 12.8 fWAR as a pitcher)
3. Juan Soto: 30.7
4-T. Francisco Lindor: 29.8
4-T. José RamÃrez: 29.8
6. Trea Turner: 28.2
7. Freddie Freeman: 27.0
8. Bobby Witt Jr.: 26.7
9. Mookie Betts: 25.2
10. Kyle Tucker: 23.4
Tucker doesnâ€t possess elite raw power like Judge or fellow free agent Kyle Schwarber. From 2021-25, he ranked 55th in barrel rate (11.0%) and 78th in hard-hit rate (44.2%) among the 231 hitters with at least 1,000 batted balls. His average bat speed (72.0 mph) since bat tracking began during the 2023 campaign is exactly average.
He isnâ€t particularly speedy with his legs, either. He ranked in the 34th percentile or lower in Sprint Speed in each of the past four years, averaging 26.5 ft/sec in 2025.
But despite all of that, heâ€s still one of the best power-speed combo players in the game.
Tucker has produced 134 home runs and 105 stolen bases over the past five years, recording three 20-20 campaigns and coming close to a 30-30 season in 2023. He was one of 10 players to go 100-100 in that timeframe.
When it comes to his bat-to-ball skills, Tucker rates well but isnâ€t exactly Luis Arraez or Steven Kwan. He posted the 34th-lowest strikeout rate (15.0%) from 2021-25 (minimum 1,000 PAs) and had a 20.2% whiff rate this past season — good, but not elite.
Again, though, he looks more impressive when you consider the whole rather than looking at each skill on an individual basis.
The vast majority of contact-oriented hitters donâ€t slug like Tucker, whose isolated power was .237 in the aforementioned span.
Over the past five years, the median ISO was just .119 among the 34 hitters who had at least 1,000 plate appearances and a strikeout rate of 15% or lower. Including Tucker, only four also had an ISO of .200 or higher.
Itâ€s fitting that the closest the unassuming Tucker gets to the elite ranks is easily the least glamorous trait weâ€re discussing today: his superb batting eye.
In 2025, he ranked in the 98th percentile in chase rate (17.6%) and the 96th percentile in walk rate (14.6%).
Hitters who draw plenty of walks often strike out frequently as well — itâ€s a natural consequence of being selective and working deep counts. But not Tucker. It’s just another way he is a rarity in todayâ€s game.
Of the 27 hitters with 1,000 PAs and a walk rate of 12% or higher from 2021-25, Tucker had the lowest K-rate in the group. Just three others even had a K-rate below 20%.
To quickly recap, Tucker checked off all of these boxes from 2021-25:
Of course, free agency is also about projecting forward, which brings us to the last major factor driving Tucker’s free-agent value.
We’ve already covered Tucker’s impressive résumé, which also includes an .878 OPS and 145 OPS+ since the beginning of 2021. While sustaining that level of production would undoubtedly make him a major asset for his next team, it’s fair to wonder if Tucker has even more to offer.
The 2024 campaign was shaping up to be a career year for Tucker, but he fouled a ball off his right shin in early June and missed over three months with a small fracture after initially being diagnosed with a contusion. He finished the year with a personal-best .993 OPS and 179 OPS+ in 78 games for the Astros, recording 23 homers, 11 steals and 4.2 fWAR along the way.
Extrapolate that pace over 150 games and it comes out to 44 home runs, 21 steals and 8.1 fWAR to go with that .993 OPS. Those are superstar numbers.
It was a similar story in 2025. While he didnâ€t miss as much time, injuries took their toll in the second half and put a damper on his production after he recorded 17 homers, 20 stolen bases, a .931 OPS and 3.8 fWAR over 83 games through the end of June.
Playing home games at Wrigley Field didnâ€t help, either. Traded to the Cubs last December, Tucker had seven homers and a .747 OPS in Chicago, compared to 15 dingers and a .923 OPS on the road. The stark home/road splits gives teams reason to believe Tucker could boost his production in a new setting, much like Cody Bellinger did after being traded from the Cubs to the Yankees last winter.
Tucker also has youth on his side. Heâ€ll turn 29 in January.
So there you have it. Four ingredients, each a key part of the recipe that makes Tucker the king of this free-agent crop.
The winter meetings are just days away, and the tentpole event of the MLB offseason usually provides plenty of movement via trades and free-agent signings.
Going into next weekâ€s events in Orlando, Florida, some teams are under more pressure than others to make a significant move or risk being left on the outside looking in at the offseason action.
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Here are the four teams under the most pressure at this yearâ€s winter meetings.
Chicago Cubs
No one seems to know what the Cubs want to be, including the Cubs themselves. Around this time last year, they were preparing to put a package together to acquire this yearâ€s biggest free agent, Kyle Tucker. Now, after a successful season with Tucker that included winning the NLâ€s top wild-card before being bounced by the Brewers in the NLDS, the expectation is that the outfielderâ€s time in Chicago is over.
If thatâ€s the case, the Cubs are back to where they were last year, with more questions in their lineup than answers. And itâ€s not just their lineup that needs some reinforcements; their rotation needs help as well.
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But beyond the need to add, the pressure on Chicago comes from the fact that the organizationâ€s desire to spend has come into question in recent years, as the ownership group has pulled back from being near the top of the league in payroll. This fall, Cubs fans finally saw their team get back to the NLDS for the first time since 2018, and theyâ€re tired of hearing about the players the team almost signed.
Next week, GM Jed Hoyer and Co. will have all eyes on them, waiting for a big move at the winter meetings.

Bryce Harper’s Phillies and Aaron Judge’s Yankees are among the teams under the most pressure this winter.
(Jonathan Castro/Yahoo Sports)
New York Yankees
Last winter, after losing Juan Soto to the crosstown rival New York Mets, the Yankees pivoted to Cody Bellinger, who filled the void admirably with a strong 2025 campaign. The former MVPâ€s impact on New Yorkâ€s season was significant, as he was not only strong defensively but also provided lineup protection for AL MVP Aaron Judge. This winter, the Yankees could once again lose a pivotal part of their lineup, as Bellinger is one of the best position players available in free agency.
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Beyond the question of bringing back Bellinger, the Yankees need to add a first baseman and reinforcements in the back end of their bullpen. Right-hander Devin Williams signed a three-year, $51 million deal with the Mets earlier this week, and mainstay Luke Weaver is currently a free agent.
The Yankees havenâ€t made any significant moves yet this offseason. GM Brian Cashman was extremely active at the winter meetings in 2024, and it wouldnâ€t be shocking to see his team making moves again this year.
Detroit Tigers
The clock is ticking on the Tigers and their time with two-time AL Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal. It seems impossible to think Detroit would trade the best pitcher in the world, but reports have indicated that could happen, as theyâ€ve at the very least entertained calls on their ace, who will be a free agent after next season. In that case, the biggest question is how do you get enough value in return for a player of Skubalâ€s caliber, even with just one year of club control remaining?
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After a long rebuild, the Tigers reached the postseason in back-to-back seasons and seem to have a promising future ahead of them. So after all it took to get here, why not extend Skubal? There has been no better pitcher in baseball over the past two years than the Tigers†ace, and no matter the return, you will not be able to replace the type of pitcher Skubal is and the impact he can have on a playoff series. The problem, of course, is money, as the two sides are reportedly more than $100 million apart in extension talks.
If the Tigers know theyâ€re not going to find common ground with Skubal, it would be good business to shop him around and see what other teams might offer. Still, that doesnâ€t feel like the ending either side was hoping for in this situation.
Philadelphia Phillies
On the surface, the Phillies might not seem like a team under a lot of pressure. Over the past five years, theyâ€ve been one of the most aggressive and successful teams in baseball, building a core of talented players on long-term deals and reaching the postseason the past four Octobers. But the Phillies havenâ€t been able to get to the mountaintop, despite advancing to the World Series in 2022 and the NLCS in ‘23.
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Now Philadelphia has real decisions to make regarding the future of its roster, as three major contributors to the teamâ€s recent success are free agents: NL MVP runner-up Kyle Schwarber, left-hander Ranger Suárez and catcher J.T. Realmuto.
The priority for the Phillies this offseason is undoubtedly Schwarber, who is coming off the best season of his career and has been a leader in the Philadelphia clubhouse since he arrived in 2022. It would be devastating for the franchise to lose a guy like that, one of the most respected players in baseball and a fan favorite.
Outside of Schwarber, what moves does president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski have up his sleeve? Even if the Phillies re-sign Schwarber, their roster has some other needs in the lineup and bullpen. The front office has the resources to address them, but theyâ€ll need to work quickly. With the roster getting older and the National League only getting better, Phillyâ€s window could be closing.
There are two phases to the Rule 5 draft—the MLB phase and the Triple-A phase.
For the MLB phase, there are roster requirements, including the one that stipulates a player must be immediately added to the MLB 40-man roster and stay on the MLB roster for the entirety of the following season in order to stick with his new club. The MiLB Rule 5 draft, meanwhile, is a true draft. A player is picked, and he immediately becomes a fully-fledged member of his new organization. He is added to the Triple-A roster and can then be sent to any level of the minors.
More Rule 5 Draft Coverage
Any Rule 5-eligible player who is not on a 40-man MLB roster is available to be picked in the MLB phase of the Rule 5 draft, while all players not on the 38-player Triple-A rosters are available to be picked in the MiLB Rule 5 draft. So, when it comes to the MLB Rule 5 draft, players on the 38-player Triple-A rosters are really the only players who get picked. If a player is available for the MiLB Rule 5 draft, it just makes too much sense to wait and pick them in a draft where there are no onerous roster restrictions.
Similarly, MLB clubs move players who are not Rule 5-eligible off of Triple-A rosters in paper transactions once the offseason commences. It makes no sense to leave Walker Jenkins (who finished the year in Triple-A) on the St. Paul roster when that spot can be used to protect another player from the MiLB Rule 5 draft. So, Jenkins has been transferred to the Double-A Wichita roster for procedural reasons.
By reverse engineering the various roster moves of the offseason so far, we have managed to put together the Triple-A rosters for all 30 MLB clubs. This is not a 100% accurate look at the MLB Rule 5 eligibles list, but we would describe it as 99% accurate. There may be some MiLB free agents whose signings have not yet been made public who are Rule 5-eligible but are not included here. The amount of programmatic name matching required to do this also means it is possible that in a case or two an error slipped through.
But for all intents and purposes, the following is a complete list of who is eligible for the MLB Rule 5 draft. We hope you enjoy using this to pick out which names you find most intriguing to be drafted.
ORgPLAYERPOS2025
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LEVELAVGOBPSLGERAK%BB%ATHBen BowdenLHPMLB1.9723.211.1ATHBlake BeersRHPAAA4.1922.07.8ATHBlaze PontesRHPA+2.1018.510.0ATHBrayan BuelvasLFAA.203.277.317ATHBrennan Milone3BAAA.242.353.400ATHCJ RodriguezCAA.167.287.220ATHClark ElliottOFAA.251.395.422ATHColton JohnsonLHPAA2.9815.112.3ATHCooper Bowman2BAAA.234.328.385ATHDaniel SusacCAAA.275.349.483ATHDomingo RoblesLHPAAA4.1820.75.6ATHDrew SwiftSSAAA.248.331.315ATHEuribiel Angeles2BAAA.283.346.384ATHGeoff HartliebRHPMLB5.4026.99.2ATHGrant JudkinsRHPA+4.7319.47.9ATHHunter BreaultRHPA+5.369.99.4ATHJake GarlandRHPA+4.1917.06.8ATHJames GonzalezLHPAA4.8922.910.8ATHJared JohnsonRHPDNPATHJoey Meneses1BAAA.262.320.428ATHKenya HugginsRHPA+3.8122.710.1ATHLuis CarrascoRHPDNPATHMark AdamiakRHPAA3.6620.38.4ATHMicah DallasRHPAA3.9921.67.7ATHMitch MyersRHPAA1.9922.93.6ATHNick AndersonRHPMLB5.5024.48.8ATHPedro PinedaCFA+.251.340.418ATHRobert PuasonSSROK6.8413.08.9ATHShane McGuireCAAA.268.382.374ATHWander SueroRHPMLB2.7927.99.0ATLAdam MaierRHPAAA5.8317.310.4ATLAdam ZebrowskiCAAA.230.289.347ATLAlbert RivasRHPA3.6221.710.4ATLAmbioris TavarezSSAA.206.317.268ATLAnderson PilarRHPAAA3.8925.27.6ATLAustin PopeRHPMLB4.1526.47.2ATLBlake BurkhalterRHPAAA3.3220.110.3ATLBlane AbeytaRHPAA2.1127.98.9ATLBrewer HicklenLFMLB.224.322.405ATLCarlos CarrascoRHPMLB5.2517.67.4ATLChadwick TrompCMLB.176.234.262ATLColin BurgessCA.208.277.292ATLConnor ThomasLHPMLB19.8913.27.9ATLDarius VinesRHPDNPATLDavid McCabe3BAAA.275.367.426ATLE.J. ExpositoSSAA.239.302.391ATLElison JosephRHPAA4.3130.521.9ATLEthan WorkingerCFAA.224.299.385ATLIan MejiaRHPAAA2.6720.87.8ATLJeff WallaceLHPDNPATLJohan Camargo3BIND.301.367.445ATLKevin KilpatrickOFAA.214.295.259ATLLandon HarperRHPAA3.5923.94.8ATLLizandro EspinozaSSAA.212.279.367ATLLuis VargasRHPAA3.7430.913.8ATLLuke Waddell3BAAA.263.358.334ATLRay KerrLHPDNPATLSamuel MejiaRHPAA4.3527.210.4ATLSamuel StricklandLHPA+2.8727.32.7AZA.J. Vukovich3BAAA.284.355.498AZAdrian De LeonCA+.169.293.250AZAlfred MorilloRHPAAA4.9222.112.6AZAnderdson Rojas2BA+.232.307.300AZAngel OrtizOFA+.262.326.409AZAramis GarciaCMLB.261.380.473AZAvery ShortLHPAAA4.7316.88.3AZBilly CorcoranRHPAAA10.5517.16.7AZCaleb RobertsCAA.237.327.388AZChristian CerdaCAA.237.340.449AZChristian Montes De OcaRHPMLB3.6725.26.3AZGavin Conticello3BAA.275.369.435AZGavin LoganCAAA.233.336.417AZIvan Melendez1BAAA.267.347.480AZJacob SteinmetzRHPDNPAZJakey JosephaSSA.256.351.375AZJesus Valdez1BAAA.253.315.39215.000.015.8AZJose CabreraRHPAA4.9219.88.4AZJunior FrancoOFAA.286.356.439AZKenny CastilloCA+.228.273.353AZKristian RobinsonCFAAA.254.371.447AZLandon SimsRHPAA3.6324.513.3AZLorenzo EncarnacionRHPA+5.8522.710.0AZManuel PenaSSAA.281.318.446AZMatt O’NeillCAAA.231.335.343AZNate SavinoLHPAA4.9319.513.5AZRicardo YanRHPA+5.2221.716.8AZSpencer GiestingLHPAAA5.3121.310.4AZTommy HenryLHPMLB7.6721.27.9AZWill MabreyLHPDNPBALAdam RetzbachCAA.221.324.37918.000.00.0BALAlex PhamRHPAAA4.0429.38.3BALAnderson De Los SantosSSA+.230.360.361BALBradley BrehmerRHPDNPBALCameron WestonRHPAAA4.5922.011.7BALCarlos TaveraRHPAAA5.2323.712.8BALCarter BaumlerRHPAA2.0429.111.4BALCarter YoungSSAAA.180.253.226BALCreed WillemsCAA.253.338.441BALDaniel LloydRHPAA3.7020.212.0BALDouglas HodoOFAA.201.316.334BALDylan HeidRHPAAA3.5422.017.6BALEdgar PortesRHPAA8.6824.518.4BALEnoli ParedesRHPAAA4.3127.412.3BALFrederick Bencosme3BAA.187.263.306BALGerald OgandoRHPAA3.5827.110.6BALJean Carlos HenriquezRHPDNPBALJeisson CabreraRHPAA3.7128.316.8BALJose BarreroSSMLB.215.294.386BALJuan RojasLHPA+4.4318.010.5BALJud FabianOFAAA.186.326.349BALKeagan GilliesRHPAAA2.6824.26.2BALLuis SanchezRHPDNP———BALMaikol HernandezSSA+.187.303.263BALMax Wagner3BAA.218.301.339BALMichael CaldonRHPAAA2.6124.211.4BALPeter Van LoonRHPAAA4.6425.610.5BALRaimon GomezRHPA+4.6330.415.8BALRichard GuaschRHPAA2.5532.98.4BALRyan LongRHPAAA4.0115.68.9BALSilas ArdoinCAAA.216.346.355BALTrace BrightRHPAA4.7421.815.4BALTT Bowens1BAAA.241.335.430BALYaqui RiveraRHPAA3.8026.713.6BALYasmil BucceCA+.241.388.378BOSAhbram Liendo2BAA.239.323.308BOSAllan CastroRFAA.270.354.403BOSBraiden WardOFAAA.290.395.391BOSCaleb BoldenRHPAA5.7422.69.8BOSChih-Jung LiuRHPROK0.000.041.6BOSCorey RosierOFAAA.252.358.382BOSDalton RogersLHPAA3.0928.912.8BOSEduardo RiveraLHPAA2.4829.712.6BOSErik RiveraOFA+7.3327.816.7BOSHayden MullinsLHPAA2.2130.012.4BOSHobie HarrisRHPAAA4.1524.712.1BOSIsaac CoffeyRHPAAA5.5121.714.0BOSJack AndersonRHPAAA4.5727.86.0BOSJacob WebbRHPAAA3.5725.711.7BOSJason DelayCAAA.200.261.257BOSJedixson PaezRHPA+2.7927.73.6BOSJeremy Wu-YellandLHPAA3.1537.68.5BOSJorge JuanRHPAA5.2124.620.9BOSMax Ferguson2BAAA.205.323.313BOSMichael SansoneLHPAA3.4620.63.9BOSMiguel BleisOFAA.222.300.385BOSNathan HickeyCAAA.234.325.408BOSNoah DeanLHPAA5.4526.916.1BOSNoah SongRHPAAA4.5825.211.6BOSOsvaldo BerriosRHPAAA5.0224.89.2BOSReidis SenaRHPAA3.4827.016.9BOSRonald RosarioCAA.201.278.321BOSTyler McDonoughOFAAA.254.328.369BOSTyler Miller3BAA.201.265.355BOSVinny CapraLFMLB.200.269.3006.006.70.0BOSWyatt OldsRHPAAA5.4723.916.0BOSYordanny MonegroRHPAA2.6735.85.8CHCBen HellerRHPDNPCHCBJ Murray3BAA.242.363.418CHCBrandon BirdsellRHPAAA3.2522.09.3CHCBrody McCulloughRHPDNPCHCChase WatkinsLHPAAA2.6523.46.5CHCChristian OlivoSSA.240.365.337CHCConnor NolandRHPAAA4.0719.99.5CHCCristian HernandezIFA+.252.330.364CHCDrew GrayLHPA+4.8232.618.6CHCErian RodriguezRHPAA3.1920.29.3CHCEvan TaylorLHPAA2.7528.312.2CHCFrankie ScalzoRHPAAA8.1720.413.1CHCGrant KippRHPAA4.2223.512.2CHCHayden Cantrelle2BAAA.235.358.339CHCHaydn McGearyCAA.231.344.231CHCJace BeckRHPA+5.8034.015.0CHCJP WheatRHPA6.8122.321.7CHCKenyi PerezRHPA+5.6727.923.4CHCKevin ValdezRHPA+3.8417.713.8CHCKoen MorenoRHPA+3.1230.313.8CHCKohl FranklinRHPA+13.507.723.1CHCLeonel EspinozaSSA+.268.327.353CHCLuis RujanoRHPAA3.9624.916.5CHCNick HullRHPAA3.6122.710.5CHCReginald PreciadoSSA+.218.292.302CHCRyan JensenRHPDNPCHCScott Kingery2BMLB.232.292.40136.005.60.0CHCTyler SchlafferRHPAA3.5323.810.7CHCVince ReillyRHPA+4.9118.49.6CHCWalker PowellRHPAAA3.0417.75.4CHCYenrri RojasRHPAA2.8220.09.2CHCZac LeighRHPAA4.1121.217.6CINAlexander VargasSSAA.229.292.353CINAnyer LaureanoRHPDNPCINAriel AlmonteOFA+.193.262.322CINAustin HendrickRFAA.246.322.422CINBen BruttiRHPA4.7625.014.4CINCade HunterCAA.219.322.324CINCarlos Jorge2BA+.253.348.356CINCarson SpiersRHPMLB5.5717.512.1CINEaston SikorskiRHPAA3.7127.210.2CINFrancisco Urbaez3BAAA.315.384.458CINHunter ParksRHPAAA5.3121.115.3CINIvan JohnsonSSAAA.221.337.378CINJacob EdwardsLHPA3.8822.010.1CINJared LyonsRHPAAA3.7422.48.9CINJavier RiveraRHPDNPCINJay AllenOFAA.227.308.343CINJohnathan HarmonRHPA+4.0421.412.0CINJohnny AscanioSSAA.221.354.318CINJose AcunaRHPAA3.6422.912.6CINJoseph MenefeeLHPA+3.6530.315.1CINJulian GarciaRHPAA1.1335.66.8CINKevin AbelRHPAAA4.4122.611.6CINMichael TrautweinCAA.205.392.370CINNestor LorantRHPA+5.7919.78.7CINReynardo CruzRHPA4.3622.714.6CINRyan CardonaRHPAAA4.7614.713.3CINSam BenschoterRHPAAA4.1220.96.8CINSantiago Espinal2BMLB.243.292.282CINTejay AntoneRHPAAA10.2018.811.3CINVictor AcostaSSA+.225.339.280CINYerlin ConfidanOFA+.224.315.320CLEAaron DavenportRHPAAA4.4420.410.8CLEAdam TullochLHPAA3.9722.114.1CLEAlaska AbneyRHPAA1.4425.52.1CLECameron BarstadCAA.208.290.309CLEDavis SharpeRHPAA4.6022.57.5CLEDayan FriasSSAAA.216.318.318CLEDylan DeLuciaRHPAA3.5723.89.4CLEEsteban GonzalezOFA+.273.336.430CLEGuy LipscombOFAAA.243.319.349CLEHunter StanleyRHPAA0.0028.60.0CLEJack JasiakRHPAA3.3825.56.3CLEJack LeftwichRHPAAA3.3821.312.8CLEJake FoxSSAA.197.321.310CLEJake MillerRHPAAA2.8620.78.2CLEJoe LampeOFAAA.242.338.406CLEJose DeversSSA+.240.293.415CLEJuan BenjaminSSA+.259.353.369CLEJustin CampbellRHPDNPCLEKody HuffCAAA.222.301.330CLELogun ClarkCA.209.345.264CLEMagnus EllertsRHPAA4.7132.517.5CLEMilan TolentinoSSAAA.207.313.422CLERodney BooneLHPAA2.3122.97.0CLERoss CarverRHPAAA4.6322.012.7CLERyan WebbLHPAAA4.1522.811.7CLETanner BurnsRHPAAA5.8617.712.0CLETommy 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DabovichRHPAA2.8948.720.5SFReggie CrawfordLHPDNPSFRicardo EstradaLHPA2.2523.99.6SFRyan WatsonRHPAAA4.2127.07.9SFSeth LonswayLHPAAA3.7621.111.6SFSpencer MilesRHPWIN4.1532.42.7SFThomas GavelloCAAA.252.331.452SFTrystan VrielingRHPAA4.6323.28.4SFTyler VogelRHPAAA2.8825.510.3SFVictor BericotoOFAAA.280.349.453SFWill BednarRHPAAA5.6834.015.8SFWilkin RamosRHPAAA2.649.129.6SFZach MorganCAAA.221.308.316STLAlex CornwellLHPAAA5.9216.810.6STLAndy YerzyCAAA.202.289.324STLAnyelo EncarnacionSSA+.213.328.325STLAustin LoveRHPAA2.4127.311.3STLBlaze Jordan3BAAA.270.331.450STLBrody Moore2BAAA.241.298.311STLBruno LopezRHPA4.6440.220.6STLCade WinquestRHPAA3.9923.98.5STLD.J. CarpenterRHPA+5.8623.716.4STLDarlin SaladinRHPA+4.4321.511.9STLEdwin NunezRHPAA9.6620.622.8STLGerson MorenoRHPAAA1.6525.012.9STLHancel RinconRHPAA3.9226.87.4STLHunter HayesRHPAA4.7823.110.7STLIan BedellRHPAAA7.6922.19.8STLJeremy RivasSSAA.204.296.316STLJose CordobaCFA+.249.339.358STLJose DavilaRHPA+5.2119.310.3STLJose SuarezOFA.248.325.324STLJoseph KingRHPA+3.6835.912.5STLGerardo SalasRHPA+8.108.820.3STLMax RajcicRHPAAA4.9618.49.9STLMiguel UguetoOFAA.274.307.360STLMiguel VillarroelSSA+.251.304.327STLMike AnticoOFAAA.275.361.408STLNoah Mendlinger3BAAA.282.399.355STLPacky NaughtonLHPDNPSTLPete HansenLHPAA3.9321.16.4STLRamon MendozaIFAA.257.367.407STLRandel ClementeRHPAA4.4331.917.2STLScott BlewettRHPMLB6.1117.38.9STLSem RobberseRHPAAA7.3624.710.4TBAlexander AlbertoRHPA+2.5930.610.1TBAlfredo ZarragaRHPAA1.5943.58.7TBAndrew WantzRHPAAA0.6929.415.7TBAndy RodriguezRHPA4.6116.74.8TBAustin VernonRHPAAA2.9828.113.6TBBrian Van BelleRHPMLB3.3420.13.6TBBrock JonesOFAAA.178.330.384TBCarlos ColmenarezSSA+.219.342.336TBCooper Kinney2BAA.242.299.386TBEvan ReifertRHPAAA3.2638.614.3TBGerlin RosarioRHPA+2.2721.38.9TBGregory BarriosSSAA.239.297.277TBJack HartmanRHPAA2.1421.712.0TBJacob WattersRHPAA4.8724.710.8TBJake WoodfordRHPMLB5.2518.67.5TBJohn RooneyLHPMLB2.7034.115.0TBJonny CuevasRHPAAA4.2416.110.6TBJunior WilliamRHPA+4.3826.310.3TBKenny PiperCAAA.192.299.358TBKodi WhitleyRHPAAA4.0832.83.5TBKyle WhittenRHPDNPTBLogan DriscollCDNPTBLogan WorkmanRHPAAA4.0224.47.2TBLuis GuerreroRHPMLB3.9918.318.7TBMarcus JohnsonRHPA+4.5024.22.8TBMason AuerOFA13.0915.123.3TBRaynel Delgado2BAAA.281.363.378TBRoel GarciaRHPAAA3.4123.87.1TBRyan CermakOFA+.282.363.582TBRyan SpikesSSAAA.250.297.432TBTatem LevinsCAA.244.405.383TBTrevor MartinRHPAAA3.2124.98.6TEXAaron ZavalaOFAAA.249.359.430TEXAdonis VillavicencioRHPA+6.5720.114.8TEXAdrian RodriguezRHPA+3.7639.217.1TEXAidan CurryRHPA+3.8331.411.9TEXBrock PorterRHPA+3.0326.913.6TEXBryan MagdalenoLHPAA6.3124.223.7TEXCameron CauleySSAA.253.325.448TEXCooper JohnsonCAAA.219.327.344TEXD.J. McCartyRHPA+4.8323.912.7TEXDane AckerRHPAAA5.2623.410.9TEXDaniel MissakiRHPAA4.5024.29.1TEXDeclan CroninRHPAAA4.6322.814.9TEXDylan MacLeanLHPA+3.3422.85.3TEXFrainyer Chavez3BAAA.255.352.3530.000.00.0TEXGleider FiguereoIFA+.201.287.353TEXIan MollerCAA.207.306.295TEXIsmael AgredaRHPA+2.6427.712.9TEXJosh StephanRHPAAA4.6718.76.4TEXKeyber RodriguezSSAAA.248.316.315TEXLarson KindreichLHPAA3.6929.110.8TEXPeyton GrayRHPAAA3.5630.09.2TEXRichie Martin2BAAA.258.348.369TEXRobby AhlstromLHPAAA3.2823.913.9TEXTrevor Hauver2BAAA.272.386.438TEXTrey SupakRHPAAA3.8524.66.2TEXTucker MitchellCAAA.200.224.238TEXWilian BormieRHPAA3.0232.313.7TEXYeison MorrobelOFA+.172.251.277TORAdrian PintoIFA+.284.376.608TORAlex AmalfiRHPAA5.1123.913.5TORAlexis HernandezOFA+.261.354.418TORBo BondsRHPA+3.3424.79.2TORCade Doughty2BAA.231.284.319TORCarlos Mendoza2BAAA.287.394.409TORChad DallasRHPDNPTORChris McElvainRHPA+4.4220.58.3TORCJ Van EykRHPAAA4.2521.38.6TORConnor CookeRHPDNPTORConor LarkinRHPAA4.1423.711.9TORDahian SantosRHPDNPTORDevereaux HarrisonRHPAAA3.9523.313.5TOREdward DuranCA+.265.355.405TORGeison UrbaezRHPAA3.1816.113.4TORHayden JuengerRHPAAA4.3922.413.4TORHunter GregoryRHPAAA5.1723.513.3TORJe’Von WardRFAA.223.375.378TORJohan SimonLHPAA3.4225.19.2TORJosh KasevichSSAAA.236.359.246TORManuel BeltreSSA.236.316.3470.000.00.0TORPat GallagherRHPAA1.9027.39.1TORPeyton Williams1BAA.217.280.353TORRafael SanchezRHPAA5.2118.17.7TORRichard GallardoRHPDNPTORRiley Tirotta3BAAA.268.359.417TORRodolfo CastroSSAAA.233.321.43418.000.050.0TORRyan JenningsRHPAAA3.7229.615.5TORT.J. BrockRHPDNPTORTanner AndrewsRHPAA3.7824.04.0TORTrenton WallaceLHPAAA3.9527.715.7TORVictor AriasCFAA.272.353.403TORYeuni MunozOFA.248.331.478TORYohendrick PinangoLFAAA.259.359.445TORYondrei RojasRHPAA3.1530.48.1WSHBranden Boissiere1BAA.271.340.42627.000.014.3WSHBrayan RomeroRHPA4.9014.816.5WSHBrendan CollinsRHPDNPWSHBryan PolancoRHPA3.7118.29.1WSHCayden Wallace3BAA.242.310.376WSHChance HuffRHPAA3.9019.111.3WSHCortland LawsonSSAA.229.304.294WSHEnmanuel RamirezCFA.250.344.382WSHErick Mejia2BAAA4.5927.115.9WSHErik TolmanLHPAA3.6724.113.5WSHEuri MonteroRHPA+4.0012.18.0WSHHolden PowellRHPAAA4.0221.818.3WSHJack SinclairRHPAAA5.6820.414.4WSHJohan OtanezRHPA+2.6126.014.9WSHJohnathon ThomasOFAA.230.291.311WSHKevin MadeSSAA.232.300.293WSHKyle LuckhamRHPAAA4.0916.07.6WSHLuke YoungRHPAA4.6318.210.1WSHMaxwell RomeroCAA.196.266.322WSHMurphy Stehly3BAA.296.410.500WSHOrelvis MartinezSSAAA.176.288.348WSHSeth ShumanRHPAAA6.2420.34.5WSHT.J. WhiteOFA+.231.308.337WSHTrey Lipscomb3BMLB.252.307.393WSHTyler BaumRHPAAA5.5027.011.4WSHTyler StuartRHPAA4.2923.112.2WSHVictor FariasRHPA4.9721.217.3WSHYeuris JimenezRHPA+7.1624.322.5
There was just a huge week of MLB moves and we’re going to recap all of them here.
Keep a close eye on the Rotoworld Player News page so you donâ€t miss any of the action and letâ€s take a trip around the league.
MLB: New York Mets at Miami Marlins
MLB Free Agent Tracker 2025-26: Latest signings, top players, and biggest offseason deals
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Stay up to date with the MLB free agent market this offseason, including player signings, contract details, and team fits as the 2025-26 Hot Stove heats up.
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D.J. Short
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Devin Williams, Mets Closer?
Devin Williams agreed to a three-year, $51 million contract with the Mets this past Monday and as of now, it looks like he could potentially be their new closer.
While that deal feels like a heavy commitment considering Williams†bloated 4.79 ERA from last season, everything under the hood said he was still the same dominant reliever weâ€ve always known.
His 34.7% strikeout rate was just a shade below his career norms. It was supported by a 99th percentile whiff rate and 97th percentile chase rate. Those all sound great.
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His fastball velocity fell just more than half a tick, but that was after it rose in 2024. It wound up in line with where it sat across 2022 and 2023. Based on his raw pitch movement and Stuff+ grades, there was practically no discernible difference between this and any recent seasons.
So, how did Williams†season feel so catastrophic?
One big problem, he allowed an earned run in five of his first 14 appearances and sat with a 10.03 ERA on May 5th. Relief pitchers donâ€t have the same opportunity (or volume) as starters to erase a poor start to their season. When one gives up that many runs in quick succession, it will irreparably destroy their statline.
From that point on, Williams†had a much more palatable 3.58 ERA over his final 50 1/3 innings.
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Ironically, some of that inflated ERA wasnâ€t totally his fault. Mike Petriello wrote a great piece last month about the potential for a Williams bounceback and shared this stat:

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So, Williams received no credit to his ERA for stranding those inherited runners, but got crushed for those other runs that scored after he left the game. Just like life itself, sometimes ERA is not fair.
Luckily for the Mets, they may have gotten a relative bargain on Williams†contract due to last seasonâ€s poor results.
If his 2025 fell more in line with the rest of his career, heâ€d likely have been looking at deals similar to the five-year, $100 million ones that Josh Hader and Edwin DÃaz signed over the last few years.
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On top of that, this deal doesnâ€t have an opt-out built in for Williams if heâ€s able to recoup his lost value. It also includes $15 million of deferred money that pushes his luxury tax hit to just under $15 million per year. If he reverts to being an elite closer, this is a coup.
Will he be the Mets†closer though? Reports indicate that the team is still hot on DÃaz despite this signing.
Yet, itâ€s difficult to see them adding what could be the leagueâ€s most expensive contract for a reliever when they just inked Williams to whatâ€s currently the third-most expensive by total value (and fourth most by prorated value after his deferrals).
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Not that the Mets and Steve Cohen canâ€t do that, itâ€s just a question as to if they will. Still, itâ€s likely some other reliever is added to this mix.
Williams is trusted, but not infallible. Heâ€s past 30 years old, has an 11.3% walk rate for his career, and a fastball thatâ€s below average in terms of average velocity for right handed relievers.
A weird trend also developed for him this past season with an increased contact rate on pitches he threw out of the strike zone. For more on that, check out my recent YouTube video talking more about Williams.
As a two-pitch pitcher, itâ€s important that the fastball can still keep hitters honest. Luckily for him, the other of his two pitches may still be the nastiest and most unique in baseball.
If he is the Mets†closer on opening day, thereâ€s an argument he should be one of the first five closers off the board in fantasy drafts.
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Ryan Helsley Redemption
In a similar boat to Williams and the Mets, the Orioles are betting on a Ryan Helsely rebound. After a catastrophic second half in Queens, he signed a two-year, $28 million contract to be the closer in Baltimore. The contract includes an opt-out after the first year.
Helsley came to the Mets as their supposed set-up man at the trade deadline and failed miserably. He allowed 16 earned runs over 20 innings (7.20 ERA) including at least one in nine of his first 16 appearances with the club before being banished to a low leverage role in September.
Some thought the bright lights of New York in a pennant race got to Helsley. He and the team harped on a pitch tipping issue as the root cause of his struggles. Regardless, he was un-pitchable.
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Yet, his fastball still sat near triple digits and his slider had the same movement profile it always did. In terms of stuff, he was practically the same guy that proved himself as one of the best closers in the league with the Cardinals.
He says the pitch tipping is “ironed out†and if thatâ€s the case, heâ€s a great bet to be an effective closer once again. Currently the fifth-highest paid reliever in terms of average annual value, the Orioles clearly think so too. Heâ€s sure to shoot far past his ADP just outside the top-150 over the next month of drafts.
More Hot Stove Quick Hits
â—† Reigning KBO MVP Cody Ponce and the Blue Jays agreed to a three-year, $30 million deal. Ponce returns to the states with a litany of accolades overseas including the Choi-Dong Won Award (KBO equivalent of the Cy Young), MVP, and both single-season and single game strikeout record holder.
More importantly, Ponceâ€s fastball ticked up to an average around 96 MPH and he developed a new kick-change that should help him as a right-handed pitcher against left-handed hitters next season. Plus velocity, a deep repertoire, and a potential back-end rotation spot make him an intriguing deep-sleeper.
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◆ The Reds brought their closer Emilio Pagán back on a one-year, $10 million deal with an option to double up after this year.
Pagán sneakily struck out 30% of the batters he faced last season thanks to a fastball that sat around 96 mph with plus ride and nasty splitter. Heâ€s a good bet to be a solid closer once again.
â—† Starter Johan Oviedo is heading to the Red Sox in exchange for corner outfielder Jhostynxon GarcÃa to the Pirates and a handful of other prospects going in each direction of this trade.
Oviedo has an intriguing fastball, slider combo, just without the ability to ever consistently throw strikes. If his command clicks, he has true mid-rotation upside.
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GarcÃa (aka ‘The Passwordâ€) was blocked by Jarren Duran, Roman Anthony, and Wilyer Abreu in Boston despite some exciting tools. Thereâ€s a chance he could have an outfield spot to call his own in Pittsburgh at some point next season and if so, thereâ€s real power upside in his bat.
â—† Anthony Kay signed with the White Sox as a depth option with his ground ball oriented arsenal and the Angels brought Alek Manoah in for another shot to regain his past form.
â—† The Rays signed Cedric Mullins to a one-year deal that could theoretically cut into speedster Chandler Simpsonâ€s playing time.
â—† World Series hero Miguel Rojas is back with the Dodgers for a well deserved retirement tour.
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â—† Trade rumors have intensified for Joe Ryan, Luis Robert Jr., and Freddy Peralta. There could be a lot of action at the Winter Meetings this week. Make sure to keep up the Rotoworld Player News page so you donâ€t miss any of the action plus live stream and video content here all next week!
So letâ€s say – speaking hypothetically, Hal – the Yankees do indeed lower their payroll heading into the 2026 season. Obviously, they still intend to contend and they probably have enough talent to be a playoff threat.
But what would their winter look like if they forgo spending mega free agent dollars and work to improve on the margins only? They of course will reap benefits from an eventual Gerrit Cole return to an already-plus rotation, in addition to the usual Aaron Judge awesomeness and a roster with other strong points.
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Even so, they could use a Cody Bellinger return, bullpen fortification, a righty, defense-first first baseman and perhaps a stop-gap starter. Maybe a utility player, too.
How does that all work in an offseason in which the owner, Hal Steinbrenner said, “Would it be ideal if I went down (with the payroll)? Of course. But does that mean itâ€s going to happen? Of course not. We want to field a team we know could win a championship, or we believe could win a championship.â€
With that in mind, here are some suggestions for the Yankees if we remove boldface free agent names such as Bellinger and Kyle Tucker from their options.
Yeah, we know fiscal restraint doesnâ€t fit some folks†“Act like the Yankees and spend big†worldview, but this is just one potential spending scenario in a Hot Stove winter where all things are possible. Heck, maybe it means theyâ€re saving it up for next winter and a free-agent run at Tarik Skubal. Oh, now youâ€re interested.
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Outfield options
This is easy. They want Bellinger back, but heâ€s so versatile and so skilled in multiple baseball departments that heâ€s in high demand. For instance, Met fans would love it if he were another Yankee relocation to Queens. So if Bellinger goes elsewhere, what do the Yanks do on the grass?
Nothing.
Not sexy, we know. Signing Tucker would bring sizzle. But that might be $100 million more than whatever Bellinger costs. If the Yankees are trying to tamp down the payroll, they have choices here. Judge plays right, Trent Grisham, who accepted the qualifying offer, is back in center and Jasson DomÃnguez and/or top prospect Spencer Jones figure it out in left field.
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Swing-and-miss is a part of Jones†game, yes. But so is admirable athleticism and dizzying power. He had a .932 OPS and 35 homers across two minor league levels last season. Might be time to find out what heâ€s got.
“The Martian†might not have had the otherworldly (get it?) rookie season Yankees fans would have wanted. But DomÃnguez was once the most-hyped prospect in the world and one season doesnâ€t say it all about his career. Might be time to find out what heâ€s got, too.
If the Yanks do re-sign Bellinger, they could put Jones, DomÃnguez, and perhaps even Grisham into the trade carousel to address other needs.
Pitching ponderables
With Cole and Carlos Rodón both starting the season late, the Yanks need rotation depth to add to Max Fried, Cam Schlittler, Luis Gil and Will Warren. They re-signed Ryan Yarbrough, who will help, and could examine other lower-level free agents, too.
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Weâ€re thinking of names such as Tyler Mahle (2.18 ERA in 16 starts with Texas last season). The righty allowed only five homers in 86.2 innings and home run suppression skills could help in Yankee Stadium. Righty Adrian Houser revived his career with 11 sharp starts with the White Sox, though he had less success after a trade to the Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Adrian Houser (37) throws a pitch against the Boston Red Sox in the first inning at George M. Steinbrenner Field / Nathan Ray Seebeck – Imagn Images
Across their history, the Yanks have thrived at bringing in older stars who made their name with other teams, dating way back to the days of Johnny Mize or Enos Slaughter. Could they do it with one from this duo of the Cooperstown-bound ageless hurlers Max Scherzeror Justin Verlander? Might be a fun one-year deal for either.
As for the bullpen, the Yankees have vacancies left by Devin Williams and probably Luke Weaver, who is a free agent. The club has been really good at finding and developing useful relievers who might not be household names. They got mileage out of Ian Hamilton, for instance, and Clay Holmes bloomed under their tutelage. Do they have a few more in the pipeline?
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Maybe they go that route again. If not, there are plenty of potentially-useful relief arms available and they wouldnâ€t be top-of-the-market outlays, including Kyle Finnegan and Michael Kopech. Could they revive former Jays closer Jordan Romano, who is coming off two poor seasons?
Also, several of the Yankees†most highly-regarded prospects are pitchers, including 22-year-old Elmer Rodriguez, who got to Triple-A for one start last season and had a 2.58 ERA in 150 innings over three levels. Could the kids figure as inexpensive options or trade fodder?
Bench marks
A righty-hitting complement to Ben Riceat first base would be a nice pickup — someone who can help school the slugging Rice on the defensive nuances of the position. Paul Goldschmidt redux?
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Signing a utility player would fortify the bench, too. They liked Amed Rosario last season for his righty bat and he can provide coverage in the infield and outfield.
So could free agent Willi Castro, a coveted utility man last trade deadline. The switch hitter fizzled after going from the Twins to the Cubs, but he has experience at every position but catcher and first base.
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Buster Olney
Buster Olney
ESPN Senior Writer
- Senior writer ESPN Magazine/ESPN.com
- Analyst/reporter ESPN television
- Author of “The Last Night of the Yankee Dynasty”
Dec 5, 2025, 07:00 AM ET
MLB’s winter meetings begin Monday in Orlando, Florida, signaling the time when baseball’s offseason activity is likely to take off.
What’s the latest on free agent hitters, including coveted sluggers Kyle Schwarber and Kyle Tucker? Will Framber Valdez find a new home now that fellow top free agent pitcher Dylan Cease is off the board? What’s the latest on a trade market featuring stars such as Ketel Marte and Steven Kwan? And which teams could surprise the sport by making a big splash in Florida?
Here is the latest intel Buster Olney and Jeff Passan are hearing on the players, teams and themes that will rule this year’s meetings.
Last year’s winter meetings were all about Juan Soto — is there one free agent or theme on everyone’s mind going into the meetings this year?
Olney:Some agents and execs are saying the money for free agents is generally locked down. There are outliers, of course — the Toronto Blue Jays are doing their thing, and the Pittsburgh Pirates, A’s and Miami Marlins are all angling for a We Are Trying posture.
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The very elite guys, such as Kyle Schwarber, will get their money. But there are early indications that a lot of the teams that are traditionally aggressive might be more conservative this winter, perhaps because of the looming labor situation — and that could lead to more trades, rather than investments in free agents, as teams look to plug holes.
Passan:When does the Kyle Schwarber dam break? Several teams’ fortunes — from Philadelphia to Cincinnati to Pittsburgh to Boston to Baltimore to the New York Mets — depend on where Schwarber goes. The belief among teams is that it will take five years to secure the 32-year-old, and once that happens — perhaps sometime during the meetings — teams will start pivoting, and the action will pick up demonstrably.
Which top free agent hitter is most likely to sign during the winter meetings?
Olney:In recent winters, the Blue Jays wanted to spend big and couldn’t entice Shohei Ohtani or Juan Soto to take their money. Now, some free agents could need Toronto, if some of the big-money teams pass on pricey moves. Kyle Tucker has been projected as a $400 million-plus player, but it might behoove him to move quickly if he gets an early, aggressive bid from the Jays (or some other team).
This is not a winter in which you want to be waiting for the big offers to materialize, as they did for Bryce Harper and Manny Machado in past offseasons.
Ranking top MLB offseason trade candidates

From All-Star outfielders to elite aces, here are the big names your team could be targeting this winter.
Top 25 trade candidates »
Trades that would rock the offseason »
Passan:Schwarber is the best bet. Tucker isn’t close to done yet. Cody Bellinger has a healthy market but is biding his time. Alex Bregman and Bo Bichette are world-class infielders with ample, moneyed suitors. Pete Alonso’s signing could go down after Schwarber.
What’s clear is that there’s a group of teams that will spend on a big bat (Phillies, Red Sox, Blue Jays), a number surveying multiple options (Yankees, Mets, Cubs) and a handful that would do so opportunistically (Orioles, Tigers, Reds, Pirates). Others could emerge depending on how the market plays out and what trade possibilities emerge.
Which other hitters could move quickly at the meetings?
Olney:Cedric Mullins’ choice to sign for a one-year, $7 million, with the Tampa Bay Rays could be a warning sign for this free agent class. Mullins was not a perfect free agent by any measure, after his struggles with the Mets, but the rapidity with which he agreed to a deal could reflect the general feeling that this market could play out like a game of musical chairs — if you’ve got offers in hand, it’d be best to move fast and grab a spot (and money). Jorge Polanco could be among those who sign sooner rather than later — he’s coveted by the Mariners and some other teams. Harrison Bader set himself up well with a strong performance in Philadelphia.
Passan:If Schwarber goes early, everyone is in play. Otherwise, the second tier of hitters includes infielder Jorge Polanco, catcher J.T. Realmuto and Japanese corner infielder Kazuma Okamoto, and teams believe there could be momentum toward deals with them. Another popular hitter: infielder Ha-Seong Kim, who could return to Atlanta — which still needs a shortstop — on a shorter-term deal or seek longer-term security elsewhere.
Now that Dylan Cease has signed, which big-name aces could move next?
Olney: It depends on your definition of ‘big-name.’ Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander, future Hall of Famers, will find landing spots, but they are on the downslopes of their remarkable careers; they can wait, and there is a presumption that Scherzer could pitch for his good friend and new San Francisco Giants manager Tony Vitello.
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If you’re talking about the guys who will be getting paid the most, Framber Valdez and Ranger Suarez are next up, and there are clearly teams with which they could fit. The Mets need an ace; the Orioles need an ace. But the perceived expectations for Valdez’s next deal are high early in this offseason, evaluators say, and any team that bids on Suarez has to get comfortable with investing in a guy who doesn’t throw hard — which is not common in this era.
Passan:Teams in the mix for Suarez believe he’s the next big-time starter off the board. Though the 30-year-old won’t fetch a Dylan Cease-level deal, he long has been a target for Houston, which balks at deals beyond six years, and Baltimore, which is seeking a top-end rotation piece. Right-hander Michael King has widespread interest because of his frontline potential with a willingness to sign for a shorter term than the top starters. Also worth watching: right-hander Merrill Kelly, who at 37 is in line for a multiyear deal. Arguably the best starter in the class, Valdez is often among the league leaders in innings with a playoff résumé, and his market will unfold alongside the best hitters’.
Will we see a run of reliever signings following Devin Williams and Ryan Helsley getting deals?
Olney: Not necessarily, because there are so many relievers available — more than 100 unsigned free agents. Pete Fairbanks could be among the next to sign, and the 35-year-old Robert Suarez. Edwin Diaz’s free agency is fascinating because he’s the best available pitcher in an offseason in which there are few teams seemingly prepared to invest a nine-figure contract on a short reliever. He has been linked to the Mets, of course, and the Blue Jays, but each of those teams has been filling other holes, so far.
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Passan:The run on relievers is slowing slightly, though Fairbanks and Kyle Finnegan are the closers who could be had sooner than later. Tyler Rogers is primed to get a three-year deal, as is Brad Keller, who could transition to be a starter. Luke Weaver will get multiple years. The left-handed market is thin and led by Steven Matz, Caleb Ferguson, Taylor Rogers, Gregory Soto and Sean Newcomb. Diaz and Robert Suarez are the two best relievers left, and they are likely to wait for the larger market to shake out.
Which players will be mentioned most in winter meetings trade discussions?
Olney: It makes sense for teams that have trade candidates under team control into 2027 to weigh offers now because they might struggle to get proper value for those players next July, given the labor uncertainty after the season. That means players such as Mackenzie Gore of the Nationals — and Paul Toboni, Washington’s president of baseball operations, said in a “Baseball Tonight” podcast interview Wednesday that he has talked with Gore about hearing his name in trade rumors — and Kwan of the Guardians.
Interestingly, other teams report that the Twins haven’t been pushing Joe Ryan in trade discussions. Maybe that’s because they don’t have to, or, in the opinion of some evaluators, Minnesota could prefer to keep Ryan. The Diamondbacks told interested teams in July that they wouldn’t trade Marte, but their posture now is very different; they have to improve their rotation, and the quickest way to do that would be to swap Marte.
Passan:Multiple executives see a flurry of potential trades, headlined by Marte, Arizona’s All-Star second baseman. The Diamondbacks aren’t clamoring to move him. They also know that with five very affordable years under contract, Marte is among the most valuable players in baseball, thanks to his combination of productivity and cost. Another second baseman teams are considering: Tampa Bay’s Brandon Lowe.
Miami is almost certain to move a starting pitcher this winter, and Edward Cabrera has generated the most interest. Boston has been discussing its outfield surplus with multiple teams. Pittsburgh wants to trade a starter for a hitter. The Brendan Donovan market remains conflagrant, as St. Louis considers whether its rebuild will include him or the hefty return he would fetch.
Which is one surprise team to watch at the winter meetings?
Olney:We aren’t accustomed to seeing the Pirates, Marlins or A’s among the most aggressive teams, but they seem to be like college freshmen holding credit cards for the first time — some agents think they’ll add something in the range of $25 million to $30 million in payroll, either in salaries acquired through trades or in free agency.
Passan:After getting Helsley in free agency and Taylor Ward in a trade, the Orioles are looking to land a big player — and though the priority is pitching, they’re not against targeting a hitter, either. The Los Angeles Angels, whose last major free agent signing for more than $65 million was Anthony Rendon in December 2019, are still looking to bolster their rotation after trading for Grayson Rodriguez and signing Alek Manoah.
What else are you hearing that will shape the winter meetings?
Olney:The juiciest rumor I heard this week was the notion that the Mets could push the Phillies for Schwarber, and there are a lot of reasons this could make sense. Beyond Schwarber’s power and on-base capability — can you imagine pitchers working to get through Schwarber and Soto in the same inning? — he is known as someone who works to pull players together. And hell, even if the Mets don’t believe they can beat the Phillies in the bidding for the slugger, they could push Philadelphia’s cost by being involved, as the Braves did with Aaron Nola two winters ago.
There’s a lot of talk among teams about Murakami, the free agent corner infielder who is making his way from Japan — and skepticism, in some front offices, about how his skill set will play in the big leagues, given his big swing-and-miss profile and the perception that his defense could be a problem. But all he needs in this bidding is for one team (or more) to fall in love with his big-time power.
Passan:If Schwarber signs and unclogs the market, expect others to fall — either toward the end of the meetings or in the weeks leading up to Christmas. Japanese right-hander Tatsuya Imai could wind up with a big-market team on the East Coast, and the New York Yankees — with Gerrit Cole and Carlos Rodon expected to miss the start of the season — New York Mets and Philadelphia are reasonable landing spots. All three have interest in Bellinger, too. Another Japanese star, Munetaka Murakami, is more likely to sign in the period between the meetings and holidays. With the paucity of center fielders in free agency and on the trade market, Bader has a healthy market.
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Today, we’re unveiling the 10 best prospects in the Twins system entering 2026.
The top of the Twins system is headlined by Walker Jenkins, a potential five-tool player in the outfield who should advance to the big leagues early on in 2026.
Baseball America’s Ian Cundall is hosting a chat at 2 p.m. ET to discuss Jenkins and the overall state of Minnesota’s farm system.

See the 10 best prospects in the Twins system, including brand new scouting reports for every player.
More Prospect Coverage
Below, you can find our projected Twins lineup for 2029, as well as a rundown of prospects with the best scouting tools in the system.
Projected 2029 Twins Lineup
Catcher: Eduardo Tait (22)
First Base: Royce Lewis (30)
Second Base: Luke Keaschall (26)
Third Base: Kaelen Culpepper (26)
Shortstop: Marek Houston (24)
Left Field: Gabriel Gonzalez (24)
Center Field: Walker Jenkins (23)
Right Field: Emmanuel Rodriguez (25)
Designated Hitter: Byron Buxton (35)
No. 1 Starter: Zebby Matthews (28)
No. 2 Starter: Connor Prielipp (27)
No. 3 Starter: Mick Abel (27)
No. 4 Starter: Dasan Hill (23)
No. 5 Starter: Simeon Woods-Richardson (28)
Closer: Charlee Soto (23)
Listed below are the prospects with the best tools within the organization. To go directly to Minnesota’s Top 10, click here.
Twins Best Tools
Best Hitter: Walker Jenkins
Best Power Hitter: Emmanuel Rodriguez
Best Strike-Zone Discipline: Emmanuel Rodriguez
Fastest Baserunner: Kyle DeBarge
Best Athlete: Walker Jenkins
Best Fastball: Charlee Soto
Best Curveball: Marco Raya
Best Slider: Connor Prielipp
Best Changeup: Connor Prielipp
Best Control: Andrew Morris
Best Defensive Catcher: Noah Cardenas
Best Defensive Infielder: Marek Houston
Best Infield Arm: Quentin Young
Best Defensive Outfielder: Maddux Houghton
Best Outfield Arm: Brandon Winokur
The Yankees‘ outfield is currently in flux and top prospect Spencer Joneshopes to be in the mix when the team breaks camp next March.
Jones, 24, had his breakthrough season in 2025, demolishing Double-A pitching before being promoted to Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, where the outfielder held his own.
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Through both levels of the minor leagues in 2025, Jones slashed .274/.362/.571 with an OPS of .932. He also had 35 home runs and drove in 80 runs.
“Being able to be more consistent month-to-month, that was the biggest thing for me,†Jones told SNYâ€s Michelle Margaux at the Italian American Baseball Foundation Gala in the Bronx on Thursday night. “A lot of confidence and something I look forward to bringing in next year.â€
It was a bounce-back season for Jones, who struggled in 2024 once he got to Double-A. He credits a change in his swing for his consistency and continues to work on it this offseason in preparation for spring training.
“I changed some stuff with my swing, learned a lot about it and going into this offseason is just cleaning up some of the things that went wrong and moving into this next season,†he said.
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Outside of Aaron Judgein right field and Trent Grisham — who accepted the qualifying offer — in center, the Yankees have an opening in left field after the departure of Cody Bellinger. While the Yankees continue to try and bring Bellinger back, itâ€s not a guarantee, which gives Jones and other youngsters like Jasson Dominguez a chance to win the job this spring.
GM Brian Cashman said Jones “put himself in the conversation” to make the roster at the Yankees’ end-of-season news conference in October, and the outfield prospect is getting ready to earn it.
When asked what he could do to prepare to compete for a roster spot, Jones described his mindset.
“Trying to prove to them, every reason why you should be there,†he said. “Being as competitive as possible and showing them how bad you want it is important and thatâ€s going to be my job going into camp.â€
Kiley McDanielDec 4, 2025, 07:00 AM ET
- ESPN MLB Insider
- Kiley McDaniel covers MLB prospects, the MLB Draft and more, including trades and free agency.
- Has worked for three MLB teams.
Co-author of Author of ‘Future Value’
Now that we’ve projected contracts for the top 50 free agents in this winter’s class, let’s take a look at which players could provide the most — and least — bang for their expected buck.
Over the past two years, I’ve done pretty well — investing in Sonny Gray, Shane Bieber and Shota Imanaga as free agents while avoiding the end of Justin Turner’s career and megadeals for players the market also avoided going long-term with that offseason, like Blake Snell, Pete Alonso, and Cody Bellinger. And now I’m back again to try to hit the bull’s-eye a few more times.
The projected contracts in my rankings provide important context for this exercise, as my choices are based on return on investment — how I expect the players to perform over the length of their deals at their projected prices.
The rules for this edition are the same I set out for myself last winter: Each group of three players must have one player projected to land more than $50 million, one projected for a one-year deal and at least one pitcher and one position player.
Here are my three free agents to invest in and three to avoid for the 2025-26 MLB offseason.

Free agents to invest in
Michael King, RHP
Projected contract: 3 years, $57 million
King looked to be in line for one of the biggest deals in this free agent pitching class entering 2025, coming off of a breakout 2024 where he threw 173.2 innings with a 2.95 ERA and peripherals not that much behind, with predictive ERA figures in the low-to-mid 3s, good for 3.9 WAR.
His 2025 season was somewhat lost though, as shoulder and knee issues cost him half the season, his strikeout rate dipped from 28% to 25% and he gave up more damage on contact. You could read that platform season as a setup for a make-good one-year deal with incentives, but there are enough unique qualities to King that I think he’ll land a multi-year deal.
Michael King, 93mph Sinker and 83mph Sweeper, Overlay. pic.twitter.com/8peVFu9zVU
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) April 30, 2025
That’s a good visual representation of what King does well: Wiffleball-level raw stuff. When he got hit around more in 2025, it was concentrated mostly in his four-seam fastball and sweeper. What changed? His zone rate on his heater dropped from 54% to 48%, and on his sweeper it dropped from 44% to 38%. The runs saved on those two pitches combined was +2 on over 1200 pitches in 2024 and -13 on 528 pitches in 2025. The rest of his arsenal played basically the same and all had steady to rising zone rates last season.
An eight-figure decision isn’t as simple as “he should just throw more strikes,” but King looked like a nine-figure free agent before some injuries that now seem behind him, stuff that was the same throughout it, and some location tweaks. That seems like a nice gamble in a world where a No. 3/No. 4 starter goes for $15-20 million per year.
Ha-Seong Kim, SS
Projected contract: 1 year, $16 million
The sales pitch for this former Padre isn’t that different from King. Kim was really good — from 2022 to 2024, he posted a combined 10.5 WAR, which is more than what Pete Alonso and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. posted in that period, despite` more plate appearances than Kim.
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Then Kim tore the labrum in his shoulder in August 2024, which led to offseason surgery that caused him to miss roughly half of the 2025 season. Kim also had lower back and hamstring issues last season, while his sprint speed and arm strength were objectively not the same. The Braves claimed him off of waivers in September from the Rays, who paid him roughly $11 million for 24 games and 0.1 WAR. Kim turned down a $16 million player option earlier this offseason to hit the open market, and I’m guessing that’s roughly what he’ll end up with, though maybe with more incentives and maybe an option.
There isn’t a ton to look at in 2025 to give hope, but you can also look at Kim’s 2025 season as he wasn’t fully back and may have rushed a bit, then caused other injuries by overcompensating. I don’t have access to his medicals, but if my medical team clears him, it would appear 2026 is the season to bet on him looking something like his old self, the first full season after a major surgery. His track record of being a 3-win player that is solid average in all aspects is enough for me to gamble here, even though the downside is the 30-year-old is actually closer to his 2025 self going forward.
Brad Keller, RHP
Projected Contract: 2 years, $22 million
Every November, media reports start to trickle out about which free agent relievers teams are considering converting into starters. Reynaldo Lopez, Jordan Hicks, and Clay Holmes are some recent examples, and Keller actually has some similarities to Holmes. That’s one reason Keller’s contract could end up with similar terms to Holmes’ three-year, $38 million deal from last winter.
Keller found some success as a big league starter for Kansas City from 2018 to 2022, then had a bout with thoracic outlet syndrome, leading to up-and-down performances for the Royals, White Sox and Red Sox in various roles in 2023 and 2024, before his breakout role as a setup man for the Cubs in 2025.
Top 50 MLB free agents

How much will the biggest stars get paid this winter? Kiley McDaniel breaks down the 2025-26 free agent class. Rankings, contract projections »
One big reason for that change is Keller’s velocity jumped by about 3.5 mph in 2025, helped a bit by the shorter stints, as well. With that added bump, Keller threw his heater in the zone a lot more, jumping his zone rate from 53% to 60%. His lively sinker, slider, sweeper, and changeup are all located to tunnel off of that center-cut 95-99 mph heater. The cutter shape of his fastball is a favorite for pitch design-focused teams due to this movement inclination giving a chance for a seam-shifted sinker, kick changeup and multiple standout breaking pitches. I wrote more about this supinator type of arm in reference to Max Fried and Corbin Burnes here.
You can see why teams look at this situation and think that stretching Keller out to longer outings like he has in the past, giving back some velocity and whiffs, and getting a 150-inning starter with No. 3/No. 4 starter upside is worth a gamble, with a late-inning reliever as the fallback option. If a couple teams really believe he could find success in either role, the bidding could jump to three years at an eight-figure AAV.
I also seriously considered Kazuma Okamoto (more here) and Kyle Finnegan (more here), but the parameters of the exercise pushed me to Kim (due to his projected one-year deal) and Keller (the upside of a potential starter).

Free agents to avoid
Eugenio Suarez, 3B
Projected Contract: 2 years, $45 million
I’m going to cheat a bit here and use Suarez as my $50 million-plus contract since I don’t see a clear big-money guy to bet against, particularly because I picked Pete Alonso last year and he had a nice bounceback year on a prove-it deal, and Kyle Schwarber, an even older DH-only hitter, was even better. I think they’ll both be good for a few more years, then fall off, but that’s true of every giant hitter deal for a player in their 30s. I could even stretch and make a case for Kyle Tucker on those same grounds if he gets a 10-year-plus deal.
Passan’s MLB offseason preview

From the big-name signings to the could-be trades, Jeff Passan breaks down the winter to come.
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On to Suarez: There are a lot of blinking red lights here. He’s 34 years old, and his defensive metrics at third base have gone from +8 to +3 to -3 in the past three seasons. He has played six regular-season innings at first base in his big league career, so you’re either dealing with an aging, below-average defensive third baseman who you’re hoping to move somewhere else, paying big money for him to learn a new position on the fly, or you’re signing a designated hitter.
At the plate, his pitch selection and high-end exit velos are just OK, so you’re basically buying Suarez’s elite ability to slug with little else to back it up. His isolated slugging in 2025 was his best since 2019 and just a hair off of a career best, so I’d bet on that backing up to some degree, but possibly a lot if Suarez’s bat speed also dips.
Zach Eflin, SP
Projected contract: 1 year, $8.5 million
Normally, I’d look at Eflin’s dominating 2023 season (177.2 innings, 3.50 ERA, 4.9 WAR), slightly lesser 2024 (2.8 WAR) then disastrous 2025 season (-0.3 WAR) and see him as a nice bounceback option for some bulk innings. It’s hard picking someone to avoid in the low-risk one-year deal bucket, but I don’t like the indicators I’m seeing in Eflin’s data.
His four-seam fastball velocity has slipped two years in a row and his secondary pitches are getting less crisp. Eflin’s best offspeed pitch in 2023 was his curveball, saving +9 runs. Since then, the pitch has lost 1 mph and went to -7 runs in 2024, then -12 runs in 2025. His primary fastball is a sinker, and it has gone from +13 to +4 to -3 runs from 2023 to 2025. Eflin’s changeup has emerged to save the day as his only run-saving pitch (+4) in 2025.
It seems like Eflin is becoming a pitch-to-contact guy and holding his breath on roughly two-thirds of his pitches. If he can get his velo to hold and then also locate well, he could still end up being a useful backend starter in 2026, but this set of facts also can result in an unconditional release before the All-Star break.
J.T. Realmuto, C
Projected Contract: 2 years, $32 million
Marcell Ozuna, DH
Projected Contract: 2 years, $30 million
Harrison Bader, OF
Projected Contract: 2 years, $25 million
I’m going to cheat a little bit again here, because the cases to avoid all three of these players are similar but focus on slightly different parts of their games. And I also had trouble picking just one, so this is easier.
Realmuto, 34, is still a standout athlete for a catcher and an excellent controller of the running game. The rest of his game has been regressing, and at his age as a catcher, things can sometimes fall off a cliff if you have to count on multiple years of performance.
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We can sum up his offensive contributions pretty well with expected wOBA, which strips out ball in play luck and predicts his offensive production based on the exit velo, launch angle, etc.: .351 in 2022, .334 in 2023, .339 in 2024, .315 in 2025. His isolated power (slugging minus batting average, so stripping out the singles to focus on extra bases) in that same span: .202, then .200, then .163, then .127. Realmuto’s bat speed dropped 23 percentile points, to below average, in 2025: You get the idea. His framing numbers went from positive in 2022 to a combined -30 over the past three years, negative each year. I think he’s still a solid starter next year, but it’s hard to be confident after that given these trends.
Ozuna is a right-handed-hitting designated hitter who just turned 35, so he’s already generically in the danger zone when it comes to multiyear deals. He also battled a hip issue starting in roughly May of last season, and if you split his season in half on June 1, you get a stark contrast: .284/.427/.474, 155 wRC+ (55% better than league average as a hitter) in 241 PA before, .199/.306/.354, 86 wRC+ (14% worse than average) in 351 PA after. He might be fully recovered from this in 2026, but I’m not willing to bet much on something like that not happening again, or his decline (.402 xwOBA in 2024, .351 in 2025) accelerating in a fully healthy season when there’s no defensive or baserunning value to protect against it.
Bader had a huge 2025, with his WAR jumping from 1.2 in 2024 to 3.2. This was driven almost entirely by what he did at the plate, with his wOBA jumping from .285 to .346. Here’s where expected wOBA can tell a predictive story: His xwOBA was an identical .295 in both seasons. Bader’s 2.0 WAR jump was entirely created by his hitting, but his underlying performance was exactly the same in both seasons.
He’s 31 years old now and has long been considered a standout defender in center field, but those numbers also dipped last season. Bader is still a championship-level fourth outfielder who can start for certain teams, but that’s what he was last year when Minnesota signed him for one year, $6.25 million plus incentives. He shouldn’t get much more than that, but I think he will.
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Shane Smith (Photo by Ben Hsu/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
It used to be thought that picking a player in the MLB Rule 5 draft could best be described as buying a lottery ticket. Every once in a while you might win big, but more likely, you’re just spending a bit of money you’ll never see again.
Nowadays, that’s not really true. In the 2020s, teams have gotten wiser about how they make Rule 5 picks. And they are reaping the benefits.
Before we dive into the numbers, let’s start by remembering that the 2021 Rule 5 draft was canceled because of the owners’ lockout. So there have only been four Rule 5 drafts so far this decade. And among those four, we’ve yet to have a dud.
From the 2024 Rule 5 draft, the White Sox got excellent seasons from Shane Smith, who fronted their rotation, and Mike Vasil, who was a bullpen workhorse. Liam Hicks was a solid catcher for the Marlins, too. The first pick of the 2023 Rule 5 draft, Mitch Spence, proved to be a valuable member of the A’s rotation while Nasim Nunez, Ryan Fernandez, Justin Slaten and Stephen Kolek have all had their moments, as well.
From the 2022 draft, Ryan Noda and Kevin Kelly have stood out, while the 2020 draft saw Garrett Whitlock, Tyler Wells, Trevor Stephan and Akil Baddoo all contribute to their new teams.
In the 2020s, a full 50% of all Rule 5 draft picks have stuck with their new team. Angel Bastardo from the 2024 Rule 5 draft has yet to fulfill eligibility requirements because of injury, so that number could tick above or below 50% next year. From 2000-2019, there was only one year (2001) in which half of the picks stuck.
And it’s not just that players are making rosters. There have been 12 Rule 5 picks in the 2020s who produced 0.5 bWAR or better in their initial season, good for an average of three per draft. Only seven picks cleared that 0.5 WAR threshold in the 2010s. There were 19 in the 2000s, but it’s worth noting that from 2000-2005, players were Rule 5 eligible one year earlier than they are now, which added to the amount of available talent.
Taking it further, seven Rule 5 picks this decade have produced 1.0 or more bWAR in their Rule 5 season. Only four picks did so in the 2010s, and 11 did so in the 2000s. Five Rule 5 picks have produced 2-plus WAR in their Rule 5 season in the 2020s: Shane Smith, Mike Vasil, Ryan Noda, Akil Baddoo and Garrett Whitlock. Only two (Brad Keller and Odubel Herrera) did so in the 2010s, while only five (Darren O’Day, Joakim Soria, Josh Hamilton, Dan Uggla and Andy Sisco) did so in the 2000s.
Here’s a look at the success rates by year, as well as the best pick in each Rule 5 draft of the 2000s.
YearPicksStuckSTICK
PCTBest Pick(S)200010220.0%Jay Gibbons, OF200112650.0%Miguel Ascencio, RHP
Jorge Sosa, RHP2002281139.3%Javier Lopez, LHP
Aquilino Lopez, LHP200320420.0%Chris Shelton, 1B200412325.0%Andy Sisco, LHP200512325.0%Dan Uggla, 2B200619842.1%Josh Hamilton, OF
Joakim Soria, RHP200718316.7%Wesley Wright, LHP200821419.0%Darren O’Day, RHP
Everth Cabrera, SS200917423.5%Carlos Monasterios, RHP201018527.8%Nathan Adcock, RHP201113430.8%Marwin Gonzalez, SS201215533.3%Ryan Pressly, RHP
Hector Rondon, RHP20139333.3%Tommy Kahnle, RHP2014141071.4%Odubel Herrera, 2B
Mark Canha, 1B/OF201515533.3%Joey Rickard, OF201618738.9%Anthony Santander, OF201718633.3%Brad Keller, RHP201814321.4%Brandon Brennan, RHP201911436.4%Yohan Ramirez, RHP2020181055.6%Garrett Whitlock, RHP
Tyler Wells, RHP202215640.0%Ryan Noda, 1B
Kevin Kelly, RHP202310660.0%Mitch Spence, RHP
Stephen Kolek, RHP2024158*53.3%Shane Smith, RHP
Mike Vasil, RHP* Angel Bastardo has stuck for now, but he still has to spend 90 days on the Blue Jays’ active roster before he fulfills Rule 5 eligibility requirements.