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    Home»Baseball»10 College Hitter Data Sleepers In The 2026 MLB Draft Class
    Baseball

    10 College Hitter Data Sleepers In The 2026 MLB Draft Class

    Lajina HossainBy Lajina HossainNovember 13, 2025Updated:November 14, 2025No Comments14 Mins Read
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    Logan Hughes (10) Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Texas Longhorns in a fall college baseball game at Dell Diamond in Round Rock, Texas on Saturday, September 27, 2025 (Photo by Eddie Kelly / ProLook Photos)

    Today, we’re back with 10 more hitters, this time focusing on those players not ranked in the 2026 draft class but whose college data still suggests the potential for significant upward movement. Each playerâ€s profile is built around measurable performance indicators like exit velocities, contact rates, swing decisions and batted-ball shape.

    The list below represents a mix of Division I transfers, mid-major performers and emerging Power 4 bats whose underlying metrics warrant closer evaluation heading into the spring.

    Jack Arcamone, C, Georgia

    Arcamone broke out in 2025 at Richmond, hitting .355/.463/.675 with 22 doubles, 13 home runs and 62 RBIs, setting career highs across every category. His offensive track record and underlying data make him one of the more intriguing analytic evaluations among college catchers.

    Arcamone produced a 92.9 mph average exit velocity and a 108.1 mph 90th percentile exit velocity, with multiple batted balls clearing 110 mph, confirming the ability to generate real force on contact. The ball leaves his barrel with consistent carry, and his ability to create leverage while pulling the ball in the air allows his strength to translate directly into game power.

    He also frequently finds the barrel. His swing path and compact move to contact produce quality impact without excess length, and the metrics align with a hitter who can consistently create efficient contact trajectories. Arcamone chased at a 25% overall clip, reflecting a disciplined but not passive approach that supports his power-first contact style.

    He transferred from Richmond to Georgia, where heâ€s expected to take on a larger share of the catching duties after serving in a part-time role previously. Arcamoneâ€s offensive data already supports a high-level evaluation. More consistent defensive reps will determine whether he can fully anchor his value behind the plate.

    Brady Ballinger, 1B, Kansas

    Ballingerâ€s 2025 data places him among rare company. Only three Division I hitters with at least 65 batted-ball events reached all of the following marks last season: an average exit velocity of 89+ mph, 90th percentile EV of 106+, barrel rate above 30%, zone contact rate above 85%, overall contact rate above 80% and air-pull rate above 35%. Those were UT Arlingtonâ€s Tyce Armstrong, UCLA shortstop and No. 1 2026 prospect Roch Cholowsky and Ballinger.

    Ballingerâ€s numbers reflect a balance of both high-end impact and consistent contact. He posted an 89.9 mph average exit velocity and a 106.1 mph 90th percentile EV in 2025. His 32.9% barrel rate and 50% hard-hit rate were among the best in the country, while an 85.2% zone contact rate and 80% overall contact rate show he reached those results without selling out for power. His 20.4% chase rate suggests a mostly disciplined approach that lets the strength play inside the zone.

    Ballingerâ€s swing decisions show he picks his spots. He swung at 36.6% of all pitches, with a 69.4% heart swing rate and 59.1% zone swing rate, leaning toward selectivity over volume, though the approach can at times border on passive. The combination of strong contact metrics and disciplined swing choices gives his offensive data the shape of a player capable of producing both frequency and damage.

    Ballinger enters his 2026 draft season with one of the most complete data sets among unranked players. His underlying metrics suggest he has a real chance to rise into the Top 100 conversation with continued production.

    Jayce Dobie, 1B, Nevada

    Dobieâ€s offensive data points to an efficient, high-contact hitter with well-organized impact. He posted an 88.8 mph average exit velocity and a 101.9 mph 90th percentile EV, with a 109.8 mph max that suggests room for higher-end power as he continues to mature physically. His 41% hard-hit rate and 19.7% barrel rate indicate that a meaningful portion of his contact is struck with quality force and precision.

    The contact frequency is a clear strength. Dobie made contact on 91.7% of swings in the zone and 84.8% overall, reflecting a short, direct move to the baseball that allows him to stay efficient while maintaining a reasonable swing rate. He swung at 40.6% of pitches overall with a 73.9% heart swing and 63.3% zone swing rate, demonstrating selectivity without falling into passivity. His 21.1% chase rate supports that approach.

    Dobieâ€s batted-ball angles are well above average. He produced a 15.6-degree launch angle on hard-hit balls and a 14.2-degree pullside average, with a 42% air-pull rate, all of which point to an ability to lift and drive the baseball on a consistent trajectory. While the 90th percentile exit velocity does not reach the top tier of college hitters, the overall combination of frequent contact, solid impact, and well-shaped air contact suggests he extracts the most from his strength.

    Dobie also pitches for Nevada, but the data clearly underscores that his future value lies at the plate, where his combination of contact skill, leverage and underlying bat speed gives him a productive and efficient offensive foundation.

    Trey Hawsey, 1B, Louisiana Tech

    Hawseyâ€s 2025 batted-ball data mirrors that of former Tennessee first baseman Andrew Fischer, now a first-round pick of the Brewers. Both produced near-identical contact and impact metrics in 2025 when Fischer was a junior and Hawsey a freshman.

    Hawseyâ€s 91.5 mph average exit velocity and 106 mph 90th percentile EV aren’t far behind Fischerâ€s 93.4 mph and 106.6 mph, with similar max EVs (109.1 vs. 109.7). Their hard-hit rates (53% from Hawsey vs. 60% from Fischer), barrel rates (30.1% from Hawsey vs. 35.7% from Fischer) and air-pull percentages (52.5% vs. 53.2%) also fall in line, as do their hard-hit launch angles (19.1 vs. 23.2 degrees)—numbers that reflect similar power generation and consistent air-ball trajectories to the pull side.

    Their swing and approach data line up as well. Hawsey swung at 41.9% of pitches with 76.7% heart and 66.3% zone swing rates, nearly parallel to Fischerâ€s 39.2/78.7/69.8 breakdown. Both operated with strong chase control (Hawsey 23.7%, Fischer 18.2%) while maintaining steady contact rates (Hawsey 76.7% overall, Fischer 77.3%) and in-zone contact (85.4% vs. 83.7%). On paper, Hawseyâ€s batted-ball profile sits firmly in the same range as Fischerâ€s pre-draft breakout season.

    The difference between the two lies in how their damage is distributed. Hawseyâ€s production comes primarily against righthanded pitching, while his impact drops significantly versus lefties. Fischer elevated his value by maintaining nearly identical output from both sides of the mound. Hawseyâ€s ability to balance that split will be key.

    If he can replicate his contact quality against righties when facing same-handed pitching, the underlying data, highlighted by consistent air contact, disciplined swing control and legitimate power markers, suggests a profile capable of high-level offensive production within Conference USA.

    Logan Hughes, OF, Texas Tech

    Hughes turned in a breakout season at Texas Tech in 2025, hitting .327/.411/.697 with 19 home runs,13 doubles and underlying data that both affirmed that level of impact and suggested more could be on the way.

    He generated a 94.4 mph average exit velocity and a 106.7 mph 90th percentile EV, a set of metrics that point to real strength in a compact 5-foot-11, 197-pound frame. His 62% hard-hit rate and 32% barrel rate reflect a hitter whose swing is frequently on target and does damage.

    At the plate, Hughes shows an efficient move to contact with strength through the zone and a controlled approach. He swung at 44.6% of pitches overall, including 75.8% over the heart and 68.8% in the zone, signaling an intent-driven approach that allows him to stay selective while still aggressive in advantage counts. His 23.8% chase rate supports the view that he operates with zone awareness and discipline. Contact rates of 88% in-zone and 84.2% overall confirm a swing built on precision rather than volume.

    The batted-ball shape leaves room for additional power. Hughes†26.2% air-pull rate and 14.2-degree hard-hit launch angle show his best contact is primarily on a line, with modest lift to the pull side. His current swing path already produces firm line drives, but the underlying strength and balance suggest untapped carry if he lifts the ball even more.

    The data paints the picture of a polished lefthanded hitter with strong bat control, an accurate barrel and enough explosiveness to profile as one of the more advanced offensive players in the Big 12 entering 2026. Hughes could rocket up boards this year.

    Owen Hull, OF, North Carolina

    Hull transferred from George Mason to North Carolina after a breakout season that included 42 stolen bases and a data profile that places him among the more intriguing power-speed combinations in the country. At 6-foot-4, 215 pounds, he is a physical athlete with above-average run ability and enough quickness to at least test center field, though heâ€s spent most of his time in the corners.

    Hullâ€s batted-ball data suggests legitimate offensive upside. He produced an 87.1 mph average exit velocity and a 104 mph 90th percentile EV as a sophomore in 2025 and paired those with a 46% hard-hit rate and a 20.1% barrel rate, indicating that a substantial share of his contact is firm and productive.Â

    The swing behavior supports those outcomes. He offered at 43% of pitches overall with a 77.9% heart swing rate and a 67.1% zone swing rate, maintaining steady aggression without losing control. His 24% chase rate, 87.7% zone contact rate and 80.7% overall contact rate round out a stable approach.

    Hullâ€s batted-ball angles show that much of his damage comes on lower trajectories. He posted a 7.1-degree hard-hit launch angle, a 15.9% air-pull rate and a -5-degree average pullside launch angle, meaning his hardest contact often stays on a line or hits the ground rather than lifting.Â

    Even so, the combination of speed, leverage and impact strength gives him clear indicators of untapped game power. Hullâ€s athleticism, ability to impact the baseball and run tool make him one of the more interesting transfers in this yearâ€s draft pool.

    Wesley Jordan, OF, Texas A&M

    Jordan transferred to Texas A&M from Baylor this summer after two productive seasons in the Big 12, hitting .331/.455/.632 in 2024 and .308/.396/.564 in 2025. He will be nearly 24 years old at the time of the 2026 draft, which is a limiting factor for his overall draft value, but the data foundation remains strong enough that continued production in the SEC could still elevate his stock.

    Jordanâ€s underlying metrics reflect consistent, quality contact. He posted a 92.5 mph average exit velocity, a 108.5 mph 90th percentile EV, a 57% hard-hit rate and a 25.8% barrel rate, showing the ability to drive the baseball with real force when squared.Â

    His 47.9% swing rate, 87.1% heart swing and 77.2% zone swing illustrate an aggressive but efficient approach that keeps him active on hittable pitches. He chased at 25.2%, maintaining reasonable swing decisions while producing 87.7% zone contact and 76.5% overall contact.

    The one notable constraint in his offensive data lies in batted-ball shape. Jordanâ€s 52.9% air-pull rate shows a willingness to lift the ball, but his 15.2-degree hard-hit launch angle and 7.8-degree pullside average indicate that his best contact occurs on line drives rather than consistently elevated balls.Â

    That helps explain why he produced only 10 home runs despite his strong exit velocity foundation.

    Brayden Martin, 3B, Maryland

    Martinâ€s approach is one of the most passive in college baseball, reflected in his 25.9% swing rate, the lowest among all Division I hitters with at least 15 batted-ball events. His offensive identity is built on elite contact precision and zone control rather than aggression. In 2025, he walked 59 times against 24 strikeouts, batting .319 with a .478 on-base percentage, and his data supports that outcome: a 95.3% zone contact rate and 94.7% overall contact rate, both exceptional.

    The comparison to former Hawaii outfielder Matt Miura, a 2024 sixth-round pick of the Cardinals, is an instructive one. Both share a high-contact, low-impact offensive model defined by minimal chase and strong barrel accuracy. Their data sets nearly mirror each other, though Martin swings even less frequently and makes slightly firmer contact. Miura posted an 86.8 mph average exit velocity, a 98.3 mph 90th percentile EV and a 26% hard-hit rate, while Martin showed modestly more strength at 86.2 mph, 99.1 mph and 36%, respectively. Miuraâ€s superior air-pull rate (13.3%) and hard-hit launch angle (11.6 degrees) reflect a better ability to lift, whereas Martinâ€s 20.9% air-pull rate with flatter pullside angles (-9.5 degrees) shows his contact stays mostly on the ground or line.

    Martinâ€s discipline borders on stubbornness, but it is also the core of his success. His 8.4% chase rate underscores elite pitch recognition, and his 48.4% zone swing rate suggests he rarely expands his plan.

    The path forward will require increasing aggression and finding ways to convert contact quality into more extra-base output. He stole 16 bases in the NECBL this summer, a key supplemental skill that could bolster his value if it holds. If he adds even modest lift or damage against velocity, his elite contact efficiency could carry him into earlier draft consideration like it did for Miura in July.

    Jack Natili, C, Cincinnati

    Natili transferred to Cincinnati after beginning his career at Rutgers, and his sophomore season marked a clear step forward in both production and batted-ball quality. He hit .338/.451/.556 with 14 doubles and nine home runs, setting new career highs across nearly every offensive category. His frame and strength translate to the data, which reflect a balanced combination of impact and approach that should keep him on the radar among draft-eligible catchers.

    Natiliâ€s 2025 contact quality was impressive. He produced a 93.1 mph average exit velocity with a 107.5 mph 90th percentile EV and 112.4 mph max, along with a 51% hard-hit rate and 23.1% barrel rate, numbers that support consistent loud contact to all fields. The power foundation is clearly in place. His 45% overall swing rate, 84.2% heart swing rate, and 75.8% zone swing rate show a hitter who hunts strikes aggressively without empty effort, and his 22.8% chase rate suggests he limits unnecessary expansion.

    The contact profile is less clean. His 79.5% zone contact rate and 73.2% overall illustrate the room that remains for improving bat-to-ball consistency, while his 13.6-degree hard-hit launch angle and 25.5% air-pull rate point to a relatively neutral batted-ball shape that could benefit from more consistent lift to his pull side.

    Behind the plate, Natili is still refining his defensive actions, but his plus arm strength and developing receiving skills suggest a long-term path to staying at catcher. Offensively, the mix of strength, leverage and emerging discipline gives him a real chance to establish himself as one of the better offensive backstops in the 2026 class.

    Joe Tiroly, 2B, Virginia

    Tirolyâ€s transfer from Rider to Virginia comes after a dominant sophomore season that redefined his offensive profile. He hit .377/.481/.749 with 16 doubles, 18 home runs and 70 RBIs, walking 36 times against 25 strikeouts. The production was supported by one of the more advanced batted-ball data sets among mid-major players and reflects both bat speed and consistency of impact.

    Tiroly posted a 93.1 mph average exit velocity with a 107.5 mph 90th percentile EV and 112.4 mph max, paired with a 51% hard-hit rate and 23.1% barrel rate. The combination of contact regularity and quality places him among the most productive returning hitters in the class. His swing decisions are assertive without being reckless—he swung at 45% of pitches overall with an 84.2% heart swing rate and 75.8% zone swing rate, expanding at a manageable 22.8% chase rate.

    While his contact rates (79.5% in-zone, 73.2% overall) are solid, Tirolyâ€s underlying batted-ball shape could still be refined. His 13.6-degree hard-hit launch angle and 25.5% air-pull rate suggest a relatively neutral trajectory and room to add more consistent lift, especially to the pull side, to better access his raw power.

    The 6-foot, 200-pounder combines strength with compact athleticism and a swing built for high exit velocities. His track record of contact quality, plate discipline and game power makes him one of the more intriguing bats to transition from mid-major to ACC competition, where sustained data performance could elevate him into early round consideration.

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    Lajina Hossain is a full-time game analyst and sports strategist with expertise in both video games and real-life sports. From FIFA, PUBG, and Counter-Strike to cricket, football, and basketball – she has an in-depth understanding of the rules, strategies, and nuances of each game. Her sharp analysis has made her a trusted voice among readers. With a background in Computer Science, she is highly skilled in game mechanics and data analysis. She regularly writes game reviews, tips & tricks, and gameplay strategies for 6up.net.

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